Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 8.670874 10.228207 11.943686 13.967926 16.285252 18.849128 21.894184
2025-01-12 6.313898 8.309085 10.715650 13.809245 17.655088 22.251540 28.130643
2025-01-19 4.865043 7.028478 9.844853 13.729221 18.888829 25.441511 34.316264
2025-01-26 4.157469 6.497305 9.742939 14.484133 21.125402 29.973419 42.501603
2025-02-02 3.589753 6.021374 9.590495 15.073591 23.114440 34.272795 50.674308
2025-02-09 3.174085 5.676812 9.541506 15.749348 25.224941 38.845120 59.515148
2025-02-16 2.690530 5.128715 9.086583 15.725521 26.256179 41.907077 66.383747
2025-02-23 2.213537 4.499360 8.399530 15.226870 26.469209 43.724312 71.495828
2025-03-02 1.809238 3.919971 7.702470 14.604175 26.384889 45.028417 75.858420
2025-03-09 1.570693 3.603671 7.409149 14.610325 27.292200 47.898015 82.771090
2025-03-16 1.377310 3.339543 7.169018 14.669776 28.271785 50.921238 90.081680
2025-03-23 1.198095 3.070472 6.879202 14.596583 28.996537 53.550012 96.884115
2025-03-30 0.991229 2.705547 6.359473 14.048325 28.854251 54.764190 101.526811
2025-04-06 0.865182 2.500058 6.133575 14.039956 29.691861 57.709124 109.264137
2025-04-13 0.755250 2.310058 5.911479 14.009024 30.475173 60.599076 117.067946
2025-04-20 0.718520 2.298402 6.078070 14.794823 32.889408 66.547990 130.538542
2025-04-27 0.672172 2.251785 6.157859 15.401302 34.992501 72.048655 143.497807
2025-05-04 0.634730 2.222148 6.272379 16.091905 37.312226 78.077222 157.708265
2025-05-11 0.561237 2.072587 6.076586 16.068317 38.162933 81.389696 167.129248
2025-05-18 0.473828 1.859452 5.689492 15.560399 37.951310 82.648079 172.800646
2025-05-25 0.393971 1.648187 5.271641 14.925861 37.403404 83.199534 177.146155
2025-06-01 0.350403 1.545887 5.127468 14.932152 38.246045 86.532769 186.938913
2025-06-08 0.313863 1.458564 5.011023 14.992751 39.210320 90.158038 197.464334